States using new 2026 congressional maps: California

Yes98%
No3%

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24h volume$0
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Spread3%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 06:25 PMOct 1, 08:11 PMOct 1, 09:58 PMOct 1, 11:44 PM

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

SourcePolymarket market will-california-use-a-new-congressional-map-for-the-2026-united-states-midterm-elections

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket publishes detailed qualification and source criteria, while Pascal publishes none; this is a resolution-method difference, not a different underlying question. Their listed resolution times also differ, which does not change the event being assessed.
  • Pascalthis market

    States using new 2026 congressional maps: California

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 1, 11:37 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
States using new 2026 congressional maps: FloridaPascal—Open
States using new 2026 congressional maps: AlabamaPascal—Open
States using new 2026 congressional maps: MarylandPascal97% NoOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: MinnesotaPascal96% NoOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: KansasPascal87% NoOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: IllinoisPascal—Open
States using new 2026 congressional maps: LouisianaPascal92% YesOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: MissouriPascal98% NoOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: IndianaPascal96% NoOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: GeorgiaPascal96% NoOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: New JerseyPascal97% NoOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: North CarolinaPascal96% YesOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: NebraskaPascal94% NoOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: UtahPascal91% YesOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: VirginiaPascal94% NoOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: OhioPascal96% YesOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: TexasPascal93% YesOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: New YorkPascal97% NoOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: South CarolinaPascal—Open
States using new 2026 congressional maps: WisconsinPascal97% NoOpen
States using new 2026 congressional maps: WashingtonPascal95% NoOpen

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As of Oct 1, 11:44 PM UTC