2026 F1 drivers' champion: George Russell

No94%
Yes6%

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Spread1%
ResolvesDec 6, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 06:25 PMOct 1, 10:17 PMOct 2, 02:08 AMOct 2, 06:00 AM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

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SourcePolymarket market will-george-russell-be-the-2026-f1-drivers-champion

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and PredictFun specify resolution from official F1 results, use F1’s tiebreak procedure, and include a March 31, 2027 fallback for an incomplete season; Myriad instead has cancellation conditions for failure to produce definitive official standings and publishes an F1 results URL. Pascal references Polymarket’s market and publishes no criteria.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

    This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

    1.8K holders · 270 comments · read Sep 30, 12:23 PM UTC

  • MyriadOpen →

    Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

    ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until December 6, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** December 6, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, after the last race weekend has concluded. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the results are published on the resolution source. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to “**Yes**” the driver finishing first in the driver standings of the 2026 F1 season. - Resolves to “**No**” for all other drivers. ### **Resolution Details:** - The primary source for resolving this market will be official information published by Formula 1. - If, at any stage, a listed driver can no longer win the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship under F1 rules (for example, if they are mathematically eliminated), the relevant market will resolve to “No.” - In the event that multiple drivers are tied for first place in the drivers’ standings, this market will resolve based on the official F1 tiebreak procedure used to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Champion. ### **Cancelation Conditions:** - The 2026 FIA Formula One season is canceled, abandoned, or not completed in a manner that produces official final Drivers’ standings. - The FIA fails to publish official final standings. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to definitively determine the Drivers’ Champion. - The resolution source becomes unavailable, unreliable, or fails to provide an official outcome.

    read Oct 2, 05:18 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

    This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market titled “Other” will resolve to Yes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

    read Oct 2, 04:26 AM UTC

  • Pascalthis market

    2026 F1 drivers' champion: George Russell

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 2, 05:50 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
2026 F1 drivers' champion: Max VerstappenPascal—Open
2026 F1 drivers' champion: Kimi AntonelliPascal92% YesOpen
2026 F1 drivers' champion: Lando NorrisPascal99% NoOpen
2026 F1 drivers' champion: Lewis HamiltonPascal99% NoOpen
2026 F1 drivers' champion: Oscar PiastriPascal—Open
2026 F1 drivers' champion: Charles LeclercPascal100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 2, 06:01 AM UTC