Trump meets with Putin by October 31?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump meets with Putin by September 30? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | Polymarket | 76% Yes | Open |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Polymarket | 82% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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2 comments
From Polymarket's own thread- Prof.Money-Exterminator · 2 months ago
There is a possibility of an arbitrage between this and “will trump and Putin not meet”. Don’t miss your chance!
- Froz3nTree · 2 months ago
let's gooooo
As of Oct 2, 04:17 PM UTC