KalshiClosed

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Oct 1, 2026? 5.19% or above

No99%

5.19% or above1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume$187.4

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread100%

ResolvesOct 1, 20266 hours ago

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.18% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 1, 2026, or one week following Oct 1, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 1, 2026? 5.01% or above	Kalshi	85% 5.01% or above	$1.3K	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 1, 2026? 5.07% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$1K	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 1, 2026? 5.13% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$830	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 1, 2026? 5.05% or above	Kalshi	86% No	$696.3	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 1, 2026? 5.09% or above	Kalshi	96% No	$608.4	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 1, 2026? 5.11% or above	Kalshi	83% No	$600	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 1, 2026? 4.93% or above	Kalshi	98% 4.93% or above	$539	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 1, 2026? 5.15% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$400	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 1, 2026? 5.03% or above	Kalshi	86% No	$377.4	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Oct 1, 2026? 5.17% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$359	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 1, 2026? 4.91% or above	Kalshi	98% 4.91% or above	$215	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 1, 2026? 4.99% or above	Kalshi	89% 4.99% or above	$85	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 1, 2026? 4.97% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.97% or above	$15	—	—	Open
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 1, 2026? 4.95% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.95% or above	$15	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 2, 01:49 AM UTC