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Major news story in Oct 2026?: Will the number of full-width New York Times front page headlines be at least 1 in Oct 2026?
At least 158%
No42%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$3.1K
7d volume—
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Spread2%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 1 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section. "Banner headline" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace. Past examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016
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As of Oct 2, 07:49 AM UTC