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Will Trump or the U.S. government sue Jerome Powell in 2026?: Will Donald Trump or the U.S. government sue Jerome Powell before 2027? Before Jan 2027

No91%
Before Jan 20279%

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24h volume$4.4K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread5%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 04:55 PMOct 1, 09:25 PMOct 2, 01:55 AMOct 2, 06:25 AM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump or the U.S. government sues Jerome Powell before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A lawsuit or some other formal adversarial legal process (such as pre-complaint discovery or an arbitration claim) is encompassed by the Payout Criterion. Federal criminal charges filed against Jerome Powell are also encompassed. Criminal investigative steps short of filed charges, such as opening or reopening an investigation, grand jury subpoenas or a target letter, do not count.

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As of Oct 2, 06:56 AM UTC