PolymarketOpen

Set 2 Winner: Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich

Martin Krumich65%
Matthew William Donald36%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$28
Spread67%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 04:50 PMOct 1, 08:42 PMOct 2, 12:33 AMOct 2, 04:25 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Martin Krumich in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Matthew William Donald” if Matthew William Donald wins set 2. It will resolve to “Martin Krumich” if Martin Krumich wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Bari: Completed Match: Matthew William Donald vs Martin KrumichPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Matthew William Donald vs Martin KrumichPolymarket62% Martin KrumichOpen
Donald vs. Krumich: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Donald vs. Krumich: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Donald vs. Krumich: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Donald vs. Krumich: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Donald vs. Krumich: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket69% OverOpen
Matthew William Donald vs. Martin Krumich: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Donald vs. Krumich: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Donald vs. Krumich: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Martin Krumich (-1.5) vs Matthew William Donald (+1.5)Polymarket56% Matthew William DonaldOpen
Donald vs. Krumich: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Donald vs. Krumich: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket77% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Martin Krumich (-3.5) vs Matthew William Donald (+3.5)Polymarket52% Martin KrumichOpen
Matthew William Donald vs Martin Krumich: Matthew William Donald winsPolymarket67% Martin KrumichOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 05:05 AM UTC