PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Matteo Berrettini (-1.5) vs Adolfo Vallejo (+1.5)

Adolfo Vallejo61%
Matteo Berrettini39%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$18.3K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 10, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 04:50 PMOct 1, 08:25 PMOct 1, 11:59 PMOct 2, 03:34 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Adolfo Vallejo in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Matteo Berrettini" if Matteo Berrettini wins by 2 or more sets than Adolfo Vallejo, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Adolfo Vallejo." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Matteo Berrettini can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Adolfo Vallejo." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo VallejoPolymarket52% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo VallejoPolymarket57% Matteo BerrettiniOpen
Berrettini vs. Vallejo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket68% UnderOpen
Berrettini vs. Vallejo: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Berrettini vs. Vallejo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket83% OverOpen
Matteo Berrettini vs. Adolfo Vallejo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Berrettini vs. Vallejo: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Berrettini vs. Vallejo: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Game Spread: Matteo Berrettini (-1.5) vs Adolfo Vallejo (+1.5)Polymarket54% Matteo BerrettiniOpen
Berrettini vs. Vallejo: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Berrettini vs. Vallejo: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Berrettini vs. Vallejo: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo VallejoPolymarket57% Matteo BerrettiniOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Matteo Berrettini vs Adolfo VallejoPolymarket61% Matteo BerrettiniOpen
Berrettini vs. Vallejo: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 2, 04:23 AM UTC