PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik

Jakub Mensik62%
Francisco Cerundolo38%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$39.7K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 10, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 04:50 PMOct 1, 11:13 PMOct 2, 05:36 AMOct 2, 12:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Jakub Mensik in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Francisco Cerundolo” if Francisco Cerundolo wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jakub Mensik” if Jakub Mensik wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open: Completed Match: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub MensikPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub MensikPolymarket58% Jakub MensikOpen
Cerundolo vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Cerundolo vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Francisco Cerundolo vs. Jakub Mensik: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Cerundolo vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Cerundolo vs. Mensik: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Cerundolo vs. Mensik: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Cerundolo vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket71% UnderOpen
Cerundolo vs. Mensik: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Jakub Mensik (-2.5) vs Francisco Cerundolo (+2.5)Polymarket53% Jakub MensikOpen
Set Handicap: Jakub Mensik (-1.5) vs Francisco Cerundolo (+1.5)Polymarket58% Francisco CerundoloOpen
Cerundolo vs. Mensik: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket79% OverOpen
Cerundolo vs. Mensik: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
China Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub MensikPolymarket66% Jakub MensikOpen

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As of Oct 2, 12:40 PM UTC