PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Hugo Grenier vs Inaki Montes

Inaki Montes56%
Hugo Grenier45%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$12K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 04:49 PMOct 1, 08:58 PMOct 2, 01:06 AMOct 2, 05:15 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Inaki Montes in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Hugo Grenier” if Hugo Grenier wins the first set. It will resolve to “Inaki Montes” if Inaki Montes wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Porto 2: Completed Match: Hugo Grenier vs Inaki MontesPolymarket52% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Hugo Grenier vs Inaki MontesPolymarket50% Hugo GrenierOpen
Grenier vs. Montes: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Grenier vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket72% OverOpen
Grenier vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Grenier vs. Montes: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Grenier vs. Montes: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Inaki Montes (-1.5) vs Hugo Grenier (+1.5)Polymarket64% Hugo GrenierOpen
Grenier vs. Montes: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Grenier vs. Montes: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Grenier vs. Montes: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket53% OverOpen
Hugo Grenier vs. Inaki Montes: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Grenier vs. Montes: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket75% UnderOpen
Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Inaki MontesPolymarket58% Inaki MontesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 05:49 AM UTC