KalshiOpen

How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $78.50 by Oct 30, 2026? 78.49 or below

No87%
78.49 or below13%

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24h volume$356.2
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 29 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 04:31 PMOct 1, 09:18 PMOct 2, 02:06 AMOct 2, 06:53 AM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $78.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $79.00 by Oct 30, 2026? 78.99 or belowKalshi89% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $83.50 by Oct 30, 2026? 83.49 or belowKalshi68% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $79.50 by Oct 30, 2026? 79.49 or belowKalshi93% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $80.00 by Oct 30, 2026? 79.99 or belowKalshi92% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $78.00 by Oct 30, 2026? 77.99 or belowKalshi87% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $84.50 by Oct 30, 2026? 84.49 or belowKalshi58% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $84.00 by Oct 30, 2026? 83.99 or belowKalshi64% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $83.00 by Oct 30, 2026? 82.99 or belowKalshi69% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $82.50 by Oct 30, 2026? 82.49 or belowKalshi78% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $81.50 by Oct 30, 2026? 81.49 or belowKalshi92% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $80.50 by Oct 30, 2026? 80.49 or belowKalshi74% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $76.00 by Oct 30, 2026? 75.99 or belowKalshi92% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $85.50 by Oct 30, 2026? 85.49 or belowKalshi67% 85.49 or belowOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $77.50 by Oct 30, 2026? 77.49 or belowKalshi86% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $77.00 by Oct 30, 2026? 76.99 or belowKalshi91% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $76.50 by Oct 30, 2026? 76.49 or belowKalshi88% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $85.00 by Oct 30, 2026? 84.99 or belowKalshi60% 84.99 or belowOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $82.00 by Oct 30, 2026? 81.99 or belowKalshi70% NoOpen
How low will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?: Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $81.00 by Oct 30, 2026? 80.99 or belowKalshi73% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 07:15 AM UTC