PolymarketOpen

Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?

Yes84%
No16%

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 04:13 PMOct 1, 05:59 PMOct 1, 07:45 PMOct 1, 09:31 PM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

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Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 5?Polymarket84% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 4?Polymarket91% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 3?Polymarket83% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?Polymarket78% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 7?Polymarket82% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 9?Polymarket86% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 16?Polymarket72% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 10?Polymarket83% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 12?Polymarket84% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17?Polymarket71% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 11?Polymarket86% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 13?Polymarket83% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?Polymarket73% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?Polymarket74% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18?Polymarket72% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29?Polymarket82% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 22?Polymarket61% NoOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?Polymarket51% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24?Polymarket72% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?Polymarket72% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 21?Polymarket73% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25?Polymarket70% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?Polymarket73% YesOpen

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As of Oct 1, 10:00 PM UTC