Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by October 31?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” or “Low” value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index “High” and “Low” values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart settings on “1m” for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 70 by October 31? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by October 31? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by October 31? | Polymarket | 65% No | Open |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by October 31? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by October 31? | Polymarket | 75% No | Open |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by October 31? | Polymarket | 62% No | Open |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by October 31? | Polymarket | 57% No | Open |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by October 31? | Polymarket | 65% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 2, 10:12 AM UTC