Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $700B and $800B on October 31?

No93%
Yes7%

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 13Oct 18Oct 24

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Resolution rules

### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** Upon publication of the Bloomberg Billionaires Index datapoint for October 31, 2026. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - This market resolves according to Elon Musk's net worth as reported for October 31, 2026, according to the outcome ranges listed below. - If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market resolves to the higher range bracket. ### **Resolution Details:** - The resolution source for this market is the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk profile, specifically the datapoint for October 31, 2026, once finalized. - If this resolution source is unavailable, another credible resolution source will be used. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable, or fails to provide sufficient information to determine the outcome. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of their shares at cancellation.

Sourcehttps://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in publication/market-close and resolution timing: Polymarket specifies a resolution time of November 1, 2026, 03:59 UTC, while Myriad resolves upon publication of the finalized datapoint and includes explicit cancellation conditions. These are resolution mechanics, not a different underlying question.
  • Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on October 31?

    This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on October 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.

    29 holders · 0 comments · read Oct 19, 11:17 PM UTC

  • Myriadthis market

    Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $700B and $800B on October 31?

    ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date until October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** Upon publication of the Bloomberg Billionaires Index datapoint for October 31, 2026. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - This market resolves according to Elon Musk's net worth as reported for October 31, 2026, according to the outcome ranges listed below. - If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market resolves to the higher range bracket. ### **Resolution Details:** - The resolution source for this market is the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk profile, specifically the datapoint for October 31, 2026, once finalized. - If this resolution source is unavailable, another credible resolution source will be used. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable, or fails to provide sufficient information to determine the outcome. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of their shares at cancellation.

    read Oct 24, 07:49 PM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 07:50 PM UTC