Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to how much "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? | Polymarket | 90% No | Open |
| Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m? | Polymarket | 80% No | Open |
| Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will "Forgotten Island" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 9m? | Polymarket | 88% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 2, 08:13 AM UTC