PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Taisei Ichikawa

Nino Ehrenschneider63%
Taisei Ichikawa38%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.6K
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 01:50 PMOct 1, 05:26 PMOct 1, 09:03 PMOct 2, 12:39 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nino Ehrenschneider and Taisei Ichikawa in the M15 Luan, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Nino Ehrenschneider” if Nino Ehrenschneider wins the first set. It will resolve to “Taisei Ichikawa” if Taisei Ichikawa wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Luan: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Taisei IchikawaPolymarket68% Nino EhrenschneiderOpen
Ehrenschneider vs. Ichikawa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Ehrenschneider vs. Ichikawa: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ehrenschneider vs. Ichikawa: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ehrenschneider vs. Ichikawa: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Ehrenschneider vs. Ichikawa: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ehrenschneider vs. Ichikawa: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Nino Ehrenschneider vs. Taisei Ichikawa: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket64% Under 2.5Open
Ehrenschneider vs. Ichikawa: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Taisei Ichikawa (-1.5) vs Nino Ehrenschneider (+1.5)Polymarket81% Nino EhrenschneiderOpen
Ehrenschneider vs. Ichikawa: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Taisei IchikawaPolymarket50% Nino EhrenschneiderOpen
Ehrenschneider vs. Ichikawa: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
M15 Luan, Main Draw: Completed Match: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Taisei IchikawaPolymarket55% YesOpen
Set Handicap: Nino Ehrenschneider (-1.5) vs Taisei Ichikawa (+1.5)Polymarket54% Taisei IchikawaOpen

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As of Oct 2, 01:16 AM UTC