PolymarketOpen

Yamanaka vs. Purcell: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Under51%
Over50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$10.4
Spread97%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 01:50 PMOct 1, 04:17 PMOct 1, 06:43 PMOct 1, 09:10 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Taiyo Yamanaka and Max Purcell in the M15 Luan, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Luan, Main Draw: Completed Match: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Max PurcellPolymarket53% YesOpen
M15 Luan: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Max PurcellPolymarket92% Max PurcellOpen
Taiyo Yamanaka vs. Max Purcell: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket83% Under 2.5Open
Yamanaka vs. Purcell: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Max PurcellPolymarket86% Max PurcellOpen
Set Handicap: Taiyo Yamanaka (-1.5) vs Max Purcell (+1.5)Polymarket50% Max PurcellOpen
Yamanaka vs. Purcell: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Yamanaka vs. Purcell: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Yamanaka vs. Purcell: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Yamanaka vs. Purcell: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Max PurcellPolymarket51% Max PurcellOpen
Yamanaka vs. Purcell: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Yamanaka vs. Purcell: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Max Purcell (-1.5) vs Taiyo Yamanaka (+1.5)Polymarket79% Max PurcellOpen
Yamanaka vs. Purcell: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 1, 09:37 PM UTC