PolymarketOpen

Madaras vs. Paardekooper: Match O/U 23.5

Under51%
Over50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$12.6
Spread95%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 01:50 PMOct 1, 04:17 PMOct 1, 06:43 PMOct 1, 09:10 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Dragos Nicolae Madaras and Stijn Paardekooper in the M15 Telavi, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Telavi, Main Draw: Completed Match: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Stijn PaardekooperPolymarket53% YesOpen
M15 Telavi: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Stijn PaardekooperPolymarket54% Stijn PaardekooperOpen
Set 1 Winner: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Stijn PaardekooperPolymarket50% Dragos Nicolae MadarasOpen
Set 2 Winner: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Stijn PaardekooperPolymarket50% Stijn PaardekooperOpen
Set Handicap: Stijn Paardekooper (-1.5) vs Dragos Nicolae Madaras (+1.5)Polymarket50% Stijn PaardekooperOpen
Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs. Stijn Paardekooper: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Madaras vs. Paardekooper: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Madaras vs. Paardekooper: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Dragos Nicolae Madaras (-1.5) vs Stijn Paardekooper (+1.5)Polymarket50% Stijn PaardekooperOpen
Madaras vs. Paardekooper: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Madaras vs. Paardekooper: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Madaras vs. Paardekooper: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Madaras vs. Paardekooper: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Madaras vs. Paardekooper: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Madaras vs. Paardekooper: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 1, 09:12 PM UTC