PolymarketOpen

Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be G1?

No91%

Yes9%

Price checked at Oct 2, 02:14 PM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$351.7

Spread14%

ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the highest NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) geomagnetic storm level recorded between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM UTC on October 2, 2026. Geomagnetic storm levels are defined by the estimated planetary K-index (Kp) on the NOAA Space Weather Scales: G1 corresponds to Kp 5, G2 to Kp 6, G3 to Kp 7, G4 to Kp 8 and G5 to Kp 9. The highest level is taken from the highest 3-hour estimated Kp value observed within that period; if no interval reaches Kp 5, this market will resolve to “Below G1”. This market resolves on the estimated planetary K-index published by SWPC in real time. Subsequent revision of the definitive Kp index by GFZ Potsdam will not affect resolution. In the case for which no data is posted by the NOAA SWPC planetary K-index by October 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Below G1". The resolution source for this market is the NOAA SWPC planetary K-index, available here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index

Sourcehttps://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be G2?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be below G1?	Polymarket	72% Yes	$1.2K	—	—	Open
Will the highest geomagnetic storm level on October 2 be G3 or higher?	Polymarket	85% No	$4.6	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 2, 03:40 PM UTC