Will Rafael Aguirre win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election?
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in El Salvador on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador (https://www.tse.gob.sv/).
Sourcehttps://www.tse.gob.sv/
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nayib Bukele win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election? | Polymarket | 96% Yes | Open |
| Will Alirio García Flamenco win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Mayteé Iraheta win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Orlando del Cid win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 2, 12:38 PM UTC