PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe

Arthur Fils65%
Frances Tiafoe36%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$28.2K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 10:51 AMOct 1, 03:27 PMOct 1, 08:02 PMOct 2, 12:38 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Frances Tiafoe in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Arthur Fils” if Arthur Fils wins the first set. It will resolve to “Frances Tiafoe” if Frances Tiafoe wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Arthur Fils vs Frances TiafoePolymarket54% YesOpen
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket54% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Arthur Fils vs Frances TiafoePolymarket65% Arthur FilsOpen
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket68% UnderOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances TiafoePolymarket71% Arthur FilsOpen
Set Handicap: Arthur Fils (-1.5) vs Frances Tiafoe (+1.5)Polymarket55% Frances TiafoeOpen
Game Spread: Arthur Fils (-3.5) vs Frances Tiafoe (+3.5)Polymarket52% Frances TiafoeOpen
Arthur Fils vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket83% OverOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 2, 12:40 AM UTC