KalshiOpen

How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $4.05 by Oct 31, 2026?

No79%
Below $4.0521%

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24h volume$100
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026next month

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 12:00 AMOct 1, 06:12 AMOct 1, 12:24 PMOct 1, 06:37 PM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is lower than $4.05 at any time from October 1, 2026 through October 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $4.40 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi92% Below $4.40Open
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $4.20 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi65% NoOpen
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $3.75 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi97% NoOpen
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $4.25 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi65% NoOpen
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $3.90 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi82% NoOpen
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $4.10 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi93% NoOpen
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $4.00 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi95% NoOpen
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $4.30 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi56% NoOpen
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $3.85 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi98% NoOpen
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $4.15 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi91% NoOpen
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $3.95 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi93% NoOpen
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $4.35 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi69% Below $4.35Open
How low will US gas prices get in Oct 2026?: Will average gas prices go below $3.80 by Oct 31, 2026?Kalshi98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 06:52 PM UTC