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Paul Cézanne: Arlequin sale price?: Will the lot sold price of the Arlequin by Paul Cézanne on Sotheby's be above $140000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)? Above $140M

No65%
Above $140M35%

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24h volume$516
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 19, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 01:00 AMOct 1, 08:16 AMOct 1, 03:32 PMOct 1, 10:48 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the lot sold price of the Arlequin by Paul Cézanne on Sotheby's is above $140M during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection), then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the amount displayed under “Lot Sold” on the Sotheby’s website. If the value is reported in a currency other than USD, it will be converted to USD using the prevailing exchange rate. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Sotheby’s. Any references to Sotheby’s, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Sotheby’s and Kalshi.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Paul Cézanne: Arlequin sale price?: Will the lot sold price of the Arlequin by Paul Cézanne on Sotheby's be above $160000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)? Above $160MKalshi77% NoOpen
Paul Cézanne: Arlequin sale price?: Will the lot sold price of the Arlequin by Paul Cézanne on Sotheby's be above $130000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)? Above $130MKalshi58% NoOpen
Paul Cézanne: Arlequin sale price?: Will the lot sold price of the Arlequin by Paul Cézanne on Sotheby's be above $110000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)? Above $110MKalshi78% Above $110MOpen
Paul Cézanne: Arlequin sale price?: Will the lot sold price of the Arlequin by Paul Cézanne on Sotheby's be above $150000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)? Above $150MKalshi68% NoOpen
Paul Cézanne: Arlequin sale price?: Will the lot sold price of the Arlequin by Paul Cézanne on Sotheby's be above $90000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)? Above $90MKalshi96% Above $90MOpen
Paul Cézanne: Arlequin sale price?: Will the lot sold price of the Arlequin by Paul Cézanne on Sotheby's be above $80000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)? Above $80MKalshi96% Above $80MOpen
Paul Cézanne: Arlequin sale price?: Will the lot sold price of the Arlequin by Paul Cézanne on Sotheby's be above $120000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)? Above $120MKalshi78% Above $120MOpen
Paul Cézanne: Arlequin sale price?: Will the lot sold price of the Arlequin by Paul Cézanne on Sotheby's be above $100000000 during the live auction beginning November 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST (Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection)? Above $100MKalshi95% Above $100MOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 10:50 PM UTC