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When will Las Vegas receive a Pro Basketball expansion team?: Pro Basketball expansion awarded before Jan 1, 2030?

Before Jan 1, 203095%
No6%

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Spread7%
ResolvesJan 1, 2030in 3 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 06:06 AMOct 1, 06:58 PMOct 2, 07:50 AMOct 2, 08:43 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the National Basketball Association (NBA) officially announces the award of an expansion team franchise to Las Vegas after issuance and before January 1, 2030, the market resolves to Yes. An official NBA expansion franchise award specifically naming Las Vegas or its metropolitan area is required, with formal approval by the NBA Board of Governors. The award must occur after market issuance and before the specified date, interpreted as 12:00 AM ET. Future play may begin after that date. Unofficial reporting, preliminary negotiations, selection as a prospective expansion market, stadium approval alone, and conditional awards with unresolved conditions at the deadline do not qualify. Merely choosing a preferred bidder does not qualify without the required franchise award and approval. An award announced before issuance does not count. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the National Basketball Association. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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As of Oct 2, 09:06 PM UTC