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Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in October: Will Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending October 23, 2026 be above -0.52?

Above -0.5279%
No21%

Price checked at

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24h volume$23
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread7%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 11 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending October 23, 2026 is above -0.52, then the market resolves to Yes. The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (“NFCI”) refers to the headline NFCI published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index (“ANFCI”) or any individual component or contribution to the NFCI. This market will resolve using the NFCI value for the week ending October 23, 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago update that reports that week. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

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Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 24, 09:45 PM UTC