KalshiOpen

What will be the top AI model on Oct 5, 2026? gemini-4-argon-high

gemini-4-argon-high96%

No4%

Price checked at Oct 2, 02:54 AM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$426.2

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread3%

ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If gemini-4-argon-high is the top-ranked AI model on Oct 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
What will be the top AI model on Oct 5, 2026? claude-opus-5.5-high	Kalshi	99% No	$7K	—	—	Open
What will be the top AI model on Oct 5, 2026? claude-opus-5-max	Kalshi	99% No	$6.2K	—	—	Open
What will be the top AI model on Oct 5, 2026? claude-fable-5.1-max	Kalshi	99% No	$1.5K	—	—	Open
What will be the top AI model on Oct 5, 2026? claude-opus-4-6-high	Kalshi	99% No	$22.4	—	—	Open
What will be the top AI model on Oct 5, 2026? gemini-3.8-flash-high	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
What will be the top AI model on Oct 5, 2026? claude-opus-4-6	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 2, 03:26 AM UTC