PolymarketOpen

Hernandez vs. Reguig: Match O/U 23.5

Over50%
Under50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$12.6
Spread95%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 01:46 AMOct 1, 04:09 AMOct 1, 06:33 AMOct 1, 08:56 AM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Hernandez and Samir Hamza Reguig in the M15 Monastir, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Monastir: Carles Hernandez vs Samir Hamza ReguigPolymarket57% Carles HernandezOpen
M15 Monastir, Main Draw: Completed Match: Carles Hernandez vs Samir Hamza ReguigPolymarket53% YesOpen
Hernandez vs. Reguig: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket64% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Carles Hernandez vs Samir Hamza ReguigPolymarket54% Carles HernandezOpen
Set 2 Winner: Carles Hernandez vs Samir Hamza ReguigPolymarket50% Carles HernandezOpen
Hernandez vs. Reguig: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Hernandez vs. Reguig: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Hernandez vs. Reguig: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Hernandez vs. Reguig: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Hernandez vs. Reguig: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Hernandez vs. Reguig: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Hernandez vs. Reguig: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Carles Hernandez (-1.5) vs Samir Hamza Reguig (+1.5)Polymarket61% Samir Hamza ReguigOpen
Set Handicap: Samir Hamza Reguig (-1.5) vs Carles Hernandez (+1.5)Polymarket74% Carles HernandezOpen
Carles Hernandez vs. Samir Hamza Reguig: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open

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As of Oct 1, 09:45 AM UTC