PolymarketOpen

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?

Yes52%
No48%

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 11:13 PMOct 1, 12:06 AMOct 1, 12:59 AMOct 1, 01:53 AM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 1, 2026?Polymarket53% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026?Polymarket51% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?Polymarket51% NoOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 3, 2026?Polymarket51% NoOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 10, 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 8, 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 2, 2026?Polymarket82% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 9, 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 14, 2026?Polymarket51% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 11, 2026?Polymarket51% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 15, 2026?Polymarket51% NoOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?Polymarket52% NoOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?Polymarket51% NoOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?Polymarket52% NoOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?Polymarket52% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 02:33 AM UTC