PolymarketOpen

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 31, 2026?

No96%
Yes4%

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 11:13 PMOct 1, 12:57 AMOct 1, 02:41 AMOct 1, 04:25 AM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

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Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 15, 2026?Polymarket75% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 3, 2026?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 11, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 6, 2026?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 12, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 10, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 9, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 13, 2026?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 8, 2026?Polymarket88% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 4, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on or prior to October 1, 2026?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 5, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 23, 2026?Polymarket63% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 14, 2026?Polymarket81% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 21, 2026?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 22, 2026?Polymarket56% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 19, 2026?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 2, 2026?Polymarket96% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 26, 2026?Polymarket56% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 18, 2026?Polymarket61% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 28, 2026?Polymarket76% NoOpen
Will there be no next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) release by October 31, 2026?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 29, 2026?Polymarket60% NoOpen
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 25, 2026?Polymarket83% NoOpen

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As of Oct 1, 04:31 AM UTC