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Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 8?

No68%
Yes32%

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24h volume$45
7d volume$45
30d volume$45
Liquidity$33
Spread41%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 11:06 PMOct 1, 08:50 AMOct 1, 06:35 PMOct 2, 04:20 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

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As of Oct 2, 04:41 AM UTC