PolymarketOpen

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 15?

No84%
Yes16%

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24h volume$160.8
7d volume$160.8
30d volume$160.8
Liquidity$254.4
Spread33%
ResolvesOct 16, 2026in 14 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 11:01 PMOct 1, 07:30 AMOct 1, 04:00 PMOct 2, 12:29 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both James Talarico and Ken Paxton participate in a televised or live-streamed debate or candidate forum between market creation and October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, both listed individuals must be present, either on stage or in a virtual forum, and both must respond to at least one question while the other is present. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. A candidate forum in which both candidates participate at different times will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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As of Oct 2, 12:35 AM UTC