PolymarketOpen
Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
No90%
Yes11%
Price checked at
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
Resolves—
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 51% No | Open |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 62% No | Open |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 62% No | Open |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 51% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteHolders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 1, 03:29 AM UTC