PolymarketOpen

Lock vs. Sahtali: Match O/U 23.5

Under54%
Over47%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$11.8
Spread96%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:46 PMSep 30, 10:04 PMOct 1, 12:23 AMOct 1, 02:41 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Lock and Toufik Sahtali in the M25 Kigali, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M25 Kigali, Main Draw: Completed Match: Benjamin Lock vs Toufik SahtaliPolymarket53% YesOpen
Benjamin Lock vs. Toufik Sahtali: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket64% Under 2.5Open
Set 2 Winner: Benjamin Lock vs Toufik SahtaliPolymarket50% Toufik SahtaliOpen
Lock vs. Sahtali: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Benjamin Lock (-1.5) vs Toufik Sahtali (+1.5)Polymarket59% Toufik SahtaliOpen
Lock vs. Sahtali: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Lock vs. Sahtali: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Toufik Sahtali (-1.5) vs Benjamin Lock (+1.5)Polymarket75% Benjamin LockOpen
Lock vs. Sahtali: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket62% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Benjamin Lock vs Toufik SahtaliPolymarket57% Benjamin LockOpen
Lock vs. Sahtali: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Sahtali: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Sahtali: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Lock vs. Sahtali: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
M25 Kigali: Benjamin Lock vs Toufik SahtaliPolymarket61% Benjamin LockOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 03:18 AM UTC