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Lopez vs. Rapagnetta: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Under50%
Over50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0.4
Spread98%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:46 PMOct 1, 01:50 AMOct 1, 07:55 AMOct 1, 02:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Lopez and Daniele Rapagnetta in the M15 Sibenik, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Sibenik: Noah Lopez vs Daniele RapagnettaPolymarket100% Noah LopezOpen
M15 Sibenik, Main Draw: Completed Match: Noah Lopez vs Daniele RapagnettaPolymarket100% NoOpen
Set 1 Winner: Noah Lopez vs Daniele RapagnettaPolymarket50% Daniele RapagnettaOpen
Lopez vs. Rapagnetta: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Lopez vs. Rapagnetta: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Noah Lopez (-1.5) vs Daniele Rapagnetta (+1.5)Polymarket50% Noah LopezOpen
Lopez vs. Rapagnetta: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Noah Lopez vs. Daniele Rapagnetta: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Lopez vs. Rapagnetta: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Lopez vs. Rapagnetta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Lopez vs. Rapagnetta: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Noah Lopez vs Daniele RapagnettaPolymarket50% Daniele RapagnettaOpen
Lopez vs. Rapagnetta: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Daniele Rapagnetta (-1.5) vs Noah Lopez (+1.5)Polymarket50% Noah LopezOpen
Lopez vs. Rapagnetta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket91% OverOpen

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As of Oct 1, 03:37 PM UTC