PolymarketOpen

Giordano vs. Smirnova: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Under51%
Over50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$10.4
Spread97%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:51 PMSep 30, 11:33 PMOct 1, 03:16 AMOct 1, 06:58 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maddalena Giordano and Ksenia Smirnova in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W15 Sharm ElSheikh: Maddalena Giordano vs Ksenia SmirnovaPolymarket88% Ksenia SmirnovaOpen
W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw: Completed Match: Maddalena Giordano vs Ksenia SmirnovaPolymarket53% YesOpen
Giordano vs. Smirnova: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Maddalena Giordano vs Ksenia SmirnovaPolymarket51% Ksenia SmirnovaOpen
Giordano vs. Smirnova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Maddalena Giordano vs Ksenia SmirnovaPolymarket50% Ksenia SmirnovaOpen
Giordano vs. Smirnova: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Ksenia Smirnova (-1.5) vs Maddalena Giordano (+1.5)Polymarket50% Ksenia SmirnovaOpen
Giordano vs. Smirnova: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Maddalena Giordano vs. Ksenia Smirnova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Giordano vs. Smirnova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Giordano vs. Smirnova: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Giordano vs. Smirnova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Maddalena Giordano (-1.5) vs Ksenia Smirnova (+1.5)Polymarket50% Ksenia SmirnovaOpen
Giordano vs. Smirnova: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen

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As of Oct 1, 07:50 AM UTC