KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,660 or above

7,660 or above71%
No29%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread38%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 6 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:26 PMOct 1, 12:35 AMOct 1, 05:44 AMOct 1, 10:53 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT is above 7659.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi77% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi80% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,645 or aboveKalshi67% 7,645 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi55% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi54% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi50% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi60% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi62% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi68% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi71% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi63% 7,680 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi57% 7,685 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi68% 7,675 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,635 or aboveKalshi80% 7,635 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi75% 7,655 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi78% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi83% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,620 or aboveKalshi83% 7,620 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi83% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,590 or aboveKalshi87% 7,590 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,615 or aboveKalshi88% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi92% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,595 or aboveKalshi87% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,580 or aboveKalshi89% 7,580 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,585 or aboveKalshi87% 7,585 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 11:11 AM UTC