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KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,610 or above

7,610 or above84%
No16%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread32%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 2 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:26 PMOct 1, 01:59 AMOct 1, 08:32 AMOct 1, 03:05 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT is above 7609.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi92% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi95% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi56% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi80% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi95% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi86% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi89% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,635 or aboveKalshi56% 7,635 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi56% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,620 or aboveKalshi56% 7,620 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,615 or aboveKalshi61% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi56% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,645 or aboveKalshi76% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,585 or aboveKalshi87% 7,585 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 2pm EDT? 7,590 or aboveKalshi86% 7,590 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 1, 03:53 PM UTC