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KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,580 or above

7,580 or above90%
No10%

Price checked at

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread19%
ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 18 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:26 PMSep 30, 09:00 PMSep 30, 10:34 PMOct 1, 12:08 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above 7579.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi59% 7,655 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,760 or aboveKalshi88% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,755 or aboveKalshi79% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi77% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi82% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi75% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi70% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi79% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi68% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi78% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi50% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi55% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,590 or aboveKalshi85% 7,590 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7569.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,570 or aboveKalshi86% 7,570 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7564.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,565 or aboveKalshi92% 7,565 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,550 or aboveKalshi88% 7,550 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7554.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,555 or aboveKalshi91% 7,555 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7544.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,545 or aboveKalshi82% 7,545 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7539.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,540 or aboveKalshi83% 7,540 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7559.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,560 or aboveKalshi89% 7,560 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7524.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,525 or aboveKalshi83% 7,525 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7534.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,535 or aboveKalshi92% 7,535 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7519.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,520 or aboveKalshi88% 7,520 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7529.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,530 or aboveKalshi88% 7,530 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7514.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,515 or aboveKalshi86% 7,515 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 1, 12:30 AM UTC