KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,740 or above

No93%

7,740 or above7%

Price checked at Oct 1, 01:46 PM UTC

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24h volume$159.1

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread74%

ResolvesOct 1, 2026in 9 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on October 01, 2026 is above 7739.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 01, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the S&P 500 be above 7794.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,795 or above	Kalshi	98% No	$5K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,690 or above	Kalshi	69% No	$3K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,660 or above	Kalshi	57% 7,660 or above	$630.6	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,670 or above	Kalshi	54% No	$277.2	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,610 or above	Kalshi	89% 7,610 or above	$246.6	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,620 or above	Kalshi	86% 7,620 or above	$235	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,630 or above	Kalshi	82% 7,630 or above	$229.2	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,655 or above	Kalshi	61% 7,655 or above	$205	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,755 or above	Kalshi	96% No	$198.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,760 or above	Kalshi	92% No	$187.4	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,750 or above	Kalshi	94% No	$166.7	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,745 or above	Kalshi	93% No	$157.9	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,645 or above	Kalshi	70% 7,645 or above	$73	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,680 or above	Kalshi	60% No	$54	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,735 or above	Kalshi	82% No	$40.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,650 or above	Kalshi	64% 7,650 or above	$29.2	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,635 or above	Kalshi	78% 7,635 or above	$28	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,625 or above	Kalshi	86% 7,625 or above	$25	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7554.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,555 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,555 or above	$20.2	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,615 or above	Kalshi	89% 7,615 or above	$20	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,685 or above	Kalshi	65% No	$19	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,640 or above	Kalshi	71% 7,640 or above	$6	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,695 or above	Kalshi	75% No	$5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,700 or above	Kalshi	52% No	$1	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,590 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,590 or above	$1	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 1, 02:25 PM UTC