KalshiOpen

What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? California

California57%
No44%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread25%
ResolvesOct 15, 2026in 15 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:04 PMSep 30, 08:21 PMSep 30, 09:38 PMSep 30, 10:56 PMAvailable history starts Sep 30

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If JD Vance says California as part of Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? DemocratKalshi96% DemocratOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Made in America / American MadeKalshi86% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? BidenKalshi91% BidenOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Economy / EconomicKalshi54% Economy / EconomicOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Tax on Tips / Tax on OvertimeKalshi89% Tax on Tips / Tax on OvertimeOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? DeSantisKalshi71% DeSantisOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Radical LeftKalshi53% Radical LeftOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Working Class / Middle ClassKalshi60% Working Class / Middle ClassOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? 2028 / CampaignKalshi61% 2028 / CampaignOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Social SecurityKalshi89% Social SecurityOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshi75% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Event does not qualifyKalshi97% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? American DreamKalshi54% American DreamOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Fake NewsKalshi63% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? HealthcareKalshi63% HealthcareOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? TariffKalshi70% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? ElectionKalshi84% ElectionOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Byron / DonaldsKalshi87% Byron / DonaldsOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? InflationKalshi69% InflationOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? FraudKalshi80% FraudOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? America FirstKalshi70% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Manufacture / ManufacturingKalshi59% Manufacture / ManufacturingOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Illegal AlienKalshi79% Illegal AlienOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? China / ChineseKalshi55% China / ChineseOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Lakeland, Florida originally scheduled for October 1, 2026? Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshi53% Oil / Gas / GasolineOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 11:21 PM UTC