KalshiResolved

What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Fake News

No99%
Fake News1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$1.1K
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ResolvesOct 14, 2026in 13 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 07:04 PMSep 30, 07:57 PMSep 30, 08:51 PMSep 30, 09:45 PMAvailable history starts Sep 30

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If JD Vance says Fake News as part of Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? American DreamKalshi99% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Manufacture / ManufacturingKalshi99% Manufacture / ManufacturingOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? BidenKalshi99% BidenOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Event does not qualifyKalshi99% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Economy / EconomicKalshi99% Economy / EconomicOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Oil / Gas / GasolineKalshi99% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? TalaricoKalshi99% TalaricoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Tax on Tips / Tax on OvertimeKalshi99% Tax on Tips / Tax on OvertimeOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? DemocratKalshi99% DemocratOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? ElectionKalshi99% ElectionOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Radical LeftKalshi99% Radical LeftOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Illegal AlienKalshi99% Illegal AlienOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? BorderKalshi99% BorderOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? HealthcareKalshi99% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? ICEKalshi99% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Social SecurityKalshi99% Social SecurityOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Made in America / American MadeKalshi99% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? 2028 / CampaignKalshi99% 2028 / CampaignOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? InflationKalshi99% InflationOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshi99% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshi99% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? ID / IdentificationKalshi99% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? Working Class / Middle ClassKalshi99% Working Class / Middle ClassOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? FraudKalshi99% NoOpen
What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas?: What will JD Vance say during Midterm Rally in Harlingen, Texas originally scheduled for September 30, 2026? TariffKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 1, 10:54 AM UTC