KalshiOpen
Headline PCE inflation in September: Will headline PCE inflation for September 2026 be above 0.4%?
No64%
Above 0.4%36%
Price checked at
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread20%
ResolvesNov 5, 2026next month
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the headline PCE inflation for September 2026 is above 0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, including food and energy, published in the Personal Income and Outlays release for September 2026. The first officially published September 2026 value will be used. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market outcome.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteHolders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 1, 01:13 AM UTC