PolymarketOpen

Will Trump say "Ice Cream" in October?

Yes89%
No11%

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24h volume$359.3
7d volume$449.3
30d volume$449.3
Liquidity$538
Spread22%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 30 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 10:15 PMOct 1, 08:50 AMOct 1, 07:25 PMOct 2, 06:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Trump say "Chicken" in October?Polymarket71% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Beef" in October?Polymarket87% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Burger" in October?Polymarket69% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Corn" in October?Polymarket73% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Potato" in October?Polymarket64% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Peanut" in October?Polymarket99% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Milk" in October?Polymarket54% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Cucumber" in October?Polymarket71% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Cake" in October?Polymarket65% NoOpen
Will Trump say "Honey" in October?Polymarket69% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Egg" in October?Polymarket97% YesOpen
Will Trump say "Cookie" in October?Polymarket99% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 06:32 AM UTC