Will Xiandao win the Coinbase IRL trading competition?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Coinbase IRL trading competition, currently scheduled for October 8th, 2026. If multiple traders are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the trader whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is canceled, postponed after November 8th, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Coinbase. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue activity
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As of Oct 1, 03:57 PM UTC