PolymarketOpen

Connel vs. Jadoun: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Under50%
Over50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0.4
Spread98%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 01:50 PMSep 30, 02:47 PMSep 30, 03:44 PMSep 30, 04:41 PM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between James Connel and Nicolas Jadoun in the M15 Baku, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Baku: James Connel vs Nicolas JadounPolymarket60% James ConnelOpen
M15 Baku, Main Draw: Completed Match: James Connel vs Nicolas JadounPolymarket53% YesOpen
Connel vs. Jadoun: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Connel vs. Jadoun: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: James Connel vs Nicolas JadounPolymarket50% Nicolas JadounOpen
Set Handicap: James Connel (-1.5) vs Nicolas Jadoun (+1.5)Polymarket50% James ConnelOpen
Connel vs. Jadoun: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Connel vs. Jadoun: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: James Connel vs Nicolas JadounPolymarket50% Nicolas JadounOpen
Set Handicap: Nicolas Jadoun (-1.5) vs James Connel (+1.5)Polymarket50% James ConnelOpen
Connel vs. Jadoun: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
James Connel vs. Nicolas Jadoun: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Connel vs. Jadoun: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Connel vs. Jadoun: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Connel vs. Jadoun: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% OverOpen

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As of Sep 30, 05:08 PM UTC