PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Tara Wuerth vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu

Tara Wuerth60%
Maia Ilinca Burcescu40%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.5K
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 01:50 PMSep 30, 05:45 PMSep 30, 09:39 PMOct 1, 01:34 AM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tara Wuerth and Maia Ilinca Burcescu in the W15 Varna, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Tara Wuerth” if Tara Wuerth wins the first set. It will resolve to “Maia Ilinca Burcescu” if Maia Ilinca Burcescu wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W15 Varna, Main Draw: Completed Match: Tara Wuerth vs Maia Ilinca BurcescuPolymarket59% YesOpen
Wuerth vs. Burcescu: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Tara Wuerth vs. Maia Ilinca Burcescu: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket64% Under 2.5Open
Wuerth vs. Burcescu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket66% UnderOpen
Wuerth vs. Burcescu: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Tara Wuerth (-1.5) vs Maia Ilinca Burcescu (+1.5)Polymarket56% Maia Ilinca BurcescuOpen
Wuerth vs. Burcescu: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Wuerth vs. Burcescu: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Wuerth vs. Burcescu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Tara Wuerth vs Maia Ilinca BurcescuPolymarket50% Tara WuerthOpen
Wuerth vs. Burcescu: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Wuerth vs. Burcescu: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Maia Ilinca Burcescu (-1.5) vs Tara Wuerth (+1.5)Polymarket78% Tara WuerthOpen
Wuerth vs. Burcescu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
W15 Varna: Tara Wuerth vs Maia Ilinca BurcescuPolymarket64% Tara WuerthOpen

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As of Oct 1, 02:07 AM UTC