Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?
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Probability history
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No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in October, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of October at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
| Will Seoul have between 20-30mm of precipitation in October? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
| Will Seoul have between 30-40mm of precipitation in October? | Polymarket | 84% No | Open |
| Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 07:09 PM UTC