Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in October 2026?
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Probability history
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No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.
Sourcehttps://www.spacex.com/launches
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have 17+ launches in October 2026? | Polymarket | 55% No | Open |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in October 2026? | Polymarket | 55% No | Open |
| Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026? | Polymarket | 55% No | Open |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in October 2026? | Polymarket | 55% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Sep 30, 06:37 PM UTC