PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Lloyd Harris vs Luka Pavlovic

Luka Pavlovic61%
Lloyd Harris40%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$580.3
Spread73%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 10:51 AMSep 30, 12:22 PMSep 30, 01:54 PMSep 30, 03:26 PM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Luka Pavlovic in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Lloyd Harris” if Lloyd Harris wins the first set. It will resolve to “Luka Pavlovic” if Luka Pavlovic wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Jingshan: Completed Match: Lloyd Harris vs Luka PavlovicPolymarket53% YesOpen
Set Handicap: Lloyd Harris (-1.5) vs Luka Pavlovic (+1.5)Polymarket50% Luka PavlovicOpen
Harris vs. Pavlovic: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Harris vs. Pavlovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Harris vs. Pavlovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket53% OverOpen
Harris vs. Pavlovic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Lloyd Harris vs Luka PavlovicPolymarket61% Luka PavlovicOpen
Lloyd Harris vs. Luka Pavlovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Harris vs. Pavlovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Harris vs. Pavlovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Lloyd Harris (-4.5) vs Luka Pavlovic (+4.5)Polymarket55% Luka PavlovicOpen
Harris vs. Pavlovic: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Harris vs. Pavlovic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lloyd Harris vs Luka Pavlovic: Lloyd Harris winsPolymarket77% Lloyd HarrisOpen
Harris vs. Pavlovic: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 04:32 PM UTC