PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Federico Cina (-3.5) vs Elias Ymer (+3.5)

Federico Cina57%
Elias Ymer44%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$193.2
Spread9%
ResolvesOct 8, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30, 10:50 AMSep 30, 02:11 PMSep 30, 05:32 PMSep 30, 08:53 PM

No recorded data before Sep 30 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Federico Cina" if Federico Cina wins 3.5 or more total games than Elias Ymer in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Elias Ymer". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Federico Cina could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Elias Ymer". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Jingshan: Completed Match: Elias Ymer vs Federico CinaPolymarket62% YesOpen
Ymer vs. Cina: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Federico Cina (-1.5) vs Elias Ymer (+1.5)Polymarket54% Federico CinaOpen
Ymer vs. Cina: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ymer vs. Cina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket74% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Federico CinaPolymarket70% Federico CinaOpen
Set 2 Winner: Elias Ymer vs Federico CinaPolymarket62% Elias YmerOpen
Ymer vs. Cina: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Ymer vs. Cina: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ymer vs. Cina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket74% OverOpen
Ymer vs. Cina: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ymer vs. Cina: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ymer vs. Cina: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Elias Ymer vs. Federico Cina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket66% Under 2.5Open
Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina: Elias Ymer winsPolymarket75% Federico CinaOpen

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As of Sep 30, 09:05 PM UTC